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Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications.The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time-series data.Featuring improved organization and new material, the Second Edition also includes: Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, and neural networks A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning A companion site with data sets, R code, learning resources, and instructor materials (solutions to exercises, case studies) Globally-available textbook, available in both softcover and Kindle formatsPractical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, finance and management.For more information, visit forecastingbook.com
The Sun God's Heir is a swashbuckling series set at the end of the 17th century in France, Spain, and northern Africa. Slavery is a common plague along the European coast, and into this wild time an ancient Egyptian general, armed with dark arts, has managed to return and re-embody, intent on recreating the reign of terror he began as Pharoah.
The Journey of Not Knowing: How 21st Century Leaders Can Chart a Course Where There Is NoneBy Julie BenezetThe Journey of Not Knowing is a fast paced, entertaining read that gets to the heart of a critical state in today's business climate and society overall: the constantly changing, ambiguous 21st Century and the uncharted waters ahead. This book will inspire leaders of any size organization to come to grips with the scariness of the unknown while it advances a new approach to leadership that leverages the discomfort of the new as a powerful source of inspiration rather than a deterrent to building a better future.Written by former Amazon executive, coach and lawyer Julie Benezet, the book combines storytelling, business experience and human psychology to create a roadmap through the ambiguity of building something better in the context of the realities of humans in organizational life.The book tells a story of a day in the life at Arrow, Inc., a fictional company. It follows the defended behaviors throughout that day of its eight very recognizable leadership team members as they work first to avoid and then finally to solve the mystery of why a client fired them. The reward of the discovery is a critical piece of new business and substantial personal growth. To get there, each of team members must face their past, present and future. The memorable characters in the book are persons with whom the readers may cringingly identify. The book creates a framework them to confront their own resistance to change, and tools to start them on their way toward pursuing new possibilities for their lives once they can confront and embrace the scariness of the unknown.The author opens the book with a description of an experience at Amazon that led to her belief about leadership and the unknown. It ends with a primer on the Journey of Not Knowingi leadership model, using the Arrow story to illustrate its principles. The Journey of Not Knowing forms the core of a leadership program that been attended by executives from around the world over the past five years. (www.journeyofnotknowing.com)
In Fertile Soil: Stories of the California Dream, Mary Smathers presents the light and dark sides of contemporary California, the perseverance of its residents and the richness of its culture across a grand sweep of history. Smathers focuses on those who demonstrate tenacious resilience as they tackle adversity, accepting challenges they could more easily shirk. The characters you'll meet in these pages include: an elementary school principal who provides leadership for his impoverished Central Valley neighborhood a teenager whose father locks her out of her own apartment a minimum wage earner with three jobs who battles the shrinking value of her dollar in the Bay Area a suburban working mom forced to add cancer treatments into her busy schedule a homeless man and a finance whiz whose lives intersect on the streets of downtown LA two little boys who confront wildlife danger on the way home from school Smathers concludes with five intertwined stories, drawing a loosely connected line from Mexican era and Gold Rush pioneers to their descendants at the development of Silicon Valley and on to today. The collection portrays the state's innovative, hard-working residents and quintessential landscape, a never ending target for dreamers.
Suckle is a muti-layered literary novel that grapples with diverse themes, both familiar and not-so-familiar: relationships, healing, modern-day miracles, and man-milk, to name a few. At the heart of Suckle is the story of security guard Benny Salmon (a kind of Forrest Gump with man-boobs), as written in his own words. Benny tells of his involvement with Rosie, a prostitute who rather inexplicably causes him to lactate, and a half-blind albino reverend, who, learning of Benny's gift and its blessed applications, invites the security guard to join his traveling revival show, healing the sick and afflicted with his man-milk. Despite his meteoric rise to fame as a healer, things go very wrong for Benny, and in the end, he reluctantly returns to his mundane job and life, only to write his tale of woe at the behest of New York publisher John Fairfax. Taken as a whole, the various texts complement and contradict each other, comprising a rich backdrop onto which the tales and characters created by Benny Salmon et al colorfully emerge.
This book takes up the question, "What can we know?" or, even deeper, "Do we know anything at all?" The true skeptic cannot begin with any assumptions of knowledge. In the first chapter, this book takes doubt to a radical level, echoing the purpose of Rene Descartes' famous, but widely criticized, Meditations. The author takes up the epistemological debate, throwing down popular notions of foundationalism and coherentism alike, and declares all knowledge suspect until at least one shred of evidence can be called, truly, undoubtable.After this "grueling duel with doubt" the author enters into an exploration of this true knowledge, and its implications for large philosophic discussions--such as "What is reality?", metaphysics, and morality--and everyday life--"How do we live these conclusions" and, "What can these new outlooks do for us?". From the beginning of the book, the author the author challenges Vincent Bugliosi's work Divinity of Doubt, and offers answers to many of the arguments and questions therein. Overall, in addition to rewriting epistemology, metaphysics and the like, the author's intention is to defend an intelligent view of religion which is in line with modern scientific thought and discovery.
Help your students on the road to their exams!
Focus Second Edition is an even richer version of the best-selling English language learning series for upper secondary students. Through its proven 3Ms methodology (Motivation, Memory, and Meaning), cutting-edge digital solutions and high-quality educational videos from the BBC, the course offers everything students and teachers have requested.
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Our revision resources are the smart choice for those revising for AQA AS/A Level Physics. This book will help you to:  ·   Consolidate your revision with topic- and exam-based formats ·   Check your understanding with worked examples ·   Build your confidence with Grade boosters and guided questions ·   Avoid common misconceptions and pitfalls with helpful tips throughout ·   Develop your exam technique with exam-style questions and answers. (Full worked solutions available online.) Â
Our revision resources are the smart choice for those revising for AQA AS/A Level Biology. This book will help you to: Consolidate your revision with topic- and exam-based formats Check your understanding with worked examples Build your confidence with Grade boosters and guided questions Avoid common misconceptions and pitfalls with helpful tips throughout Develop your exam technique with exam-style questions and answers. (Full worked solutions available online.)
My Little Island is a three-level program for teaching English to 3 to 5-year-old children whose first language is not English.
My Little Island is a three-level program for teaching English to 3 to 5-year-old children whose first language is not English.
My Little Island is a three-level program for teaching English to 3 to 5-year-old children whose first language is not English.
My Little Island is a three-level program for teaching English to 3 to 5-year-old children whose first language is not English.
Team Together is a fast-paced, 7-level primary English course that develops language alongside future-ready skills. Pupils are challenged to communicate creatively in authentic contexts, think critically and work together to get results. Team Together sets out a clear path for progress and prepares children for success in external examinations including PTE Young Learners and Cambridge English Qualifications. English Benchmark and Team Together make the perfect partners for your language and learning assessment.
Team Together is a fast-paced, 7-level primary English course that develops language alongside future-ready skills. Pupils are challenged to communicate creatively in authentic contexts, think critically and work together to get results. Team Together sets out a clear path for progress and prepares children for success in external examinations including PTE Young Learners and Cambridge English Qualifications. English Benchmark and Team Together make the perfect partners for your language and learning assessment.
This title is a Pearson Global Edition. The Editorial team at Pearson has worked closely with educators around the world to include content which is especially relevant to students outside the United States. For undergraduate principles of marketing courses.This package includes MyLab. An introduction to marketing using a practical and engaging approachMarketing: An Introduction shows students how customer value -- creating it and capturing it -- drives effective marketing strategies. The 14th Edition reflects the major trends and shifting forces that impact marketing in this digital age of customer value, engagement, and relationships, leaving students with a richer understanding of basic marketing concepts, strategies, and practices. Through updated company cases, Marketing at Work highlights, and revised end-of-chapter exercises, students are able to apply marketing concepts to real-world company scenarios. Reach every student by pairing this text with Pearson MyLab MarketingMyLab™ is the teaching and learning platform that empowers you to reach every student. By combining trusted author content with digital tools and a flexible platform, MyLab personalizes the learning experience and improves results for each student.
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